MarketsPolitics
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
CLOSED0 options4 closedResearch 5d ago
0 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
4 closed options
0 options trading, by chance. +12 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · Dejan Šoškić
3%
38 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes for Dejan Šoškić if Dejan Šoškić is the next person elected Prime Minister by Serbia's National Assembly and formally sworn in, forming a new government, at any moment up to June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Interim or caretaker prime ministers not elected by the Assembly don't count. If no one takes office by then, the market resolves to 'Other'. Resolution rests on a consensus of credible reporting and, if that is ambiguous, on official Serbian government information.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
- Waiting for official results.
- Expected by . The source's official result is not final yet. This market waits for it.
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