MarketsElections
Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 18m agoPolymarket 24h vol $1.1K
Glenn Jacobs 35%Tim Burchett 16%Damon Hininger 14%Stuart McWhorter 10%
14 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
Glenn JacobsNo smart money35%35%
Tim BurchettNo smart money16%20%
Damon HiningerNo smart money14%10%
Stuart McWhorterNo smart money10%
Chuck FleischmannNo smart money8%
Bill LeeNo smart money5%
Pete HegsethNo smart money5%
Diana HarshbargerNo smart money5%
John RoseNo smart money4%20%
Scott DesJarlaisNo smart money3%
Matt Van EppsNo smart money3%
David KustoffNo smart money1%
Andy OglesNo smart money1%
Cameron SextonNo smart money<1%
14 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Glenn Jacobs35%35%0
Tim Burchett16%20%+4
Damon Hininger14%10%−4
Stuart McWhorter10%
Chuck Fleischmann8%
Bill Lee5%
+8 more options
AI analysts' average · Glenn Jacobs
35%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Glenn Jacobs
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
14 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Glenn Jacobs resolves Yes if that person is the next person other than Marsha Blackburn to be sworn in to Tennessee's Class I U.S. Senate seat, including as an interim or temporary Senator, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If nobody else has held the seat by then, 'Other' resolves Yes.
- Watch out
- The seat counts as held only once a person is sworn in, and interim or temporary appointees count. An announced appointment alone does not count, and if nobody is sworn in by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.