Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN18 optionsResearch 6h ago
Vladan Đokić 24%Ana Brnabić 3%Dejan Šoškić 2%Miloš Vučević 2%
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Vladan Đokić
11 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 359 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
17 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Vladan Đokić resolves Yes if Vladan Đokić wins the next Serbian presidential election, including any second round, whether it is held at the end of the current term or earlier. The result is judged by a consensus of credible reporting. If that is ambiguous, the official results of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia decide. If the result is not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other' and Vladan Đokić resolves No.
- Watch out
- Only the winner of the next presidential election counts, including any second round. If the result is not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other' and every listed candidate resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Serbian government, specifically the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (https://www.stat.gov.rs/).
