MarketsElections
Next US president's age at inauguration?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $714.5
45+ 45%50+ 36%60+ 16%40+ 91%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
6 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
40+No smart money91%90%
45+No smart money45%45%
50+No smart money36%33%
60+No smart money16%18%
70+No smart money6%6%
80+No smart money5%
6 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
40+91%90%−1
45+45%45%0
50+36%33%−3
60+16%18%+2
70+6%6%0
80+5%
AI analysts' average · 40+
90%
1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on 40+
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next individual to be sworn in as President of the United States after Donald J. Trump is the listed age or older on the day on which they are sworn in. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they are sworn in. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual other than Donald J. Trump has been sworn in as President of the United States by March 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official government sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.