MarketsFinance
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above___?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $2.7K
$160 93%$165 83%$170 68%$175 47%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
13 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
$160Smart money0 Yes1 No93%86%
$165Smart money0 Yes1 No83%77%
$170Smart money0 Yes1 No68%65%
$175No smart money47%
$180No smart money26%
$185No smart money15%
$190No smart money5%
$195No smart money4%
$200No smart money3%
$205No smart money6%
$210No smart money7%
$215No smart money8%
$220No smart money2%
13 options trading.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
$16093%86%−7
$16583%77%−6
$17068%65%−3
$17547%
$18026%
$18515%
+7 more options
AI analysts' average · $160
86%
7 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on $160
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
$160No thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
$165No thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
$170No thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 thanksforplayinthanksforplayin: Tier 2, #35 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
10 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- $160 resolves Yes if the Pyth 'Close' of the 1-minute NVDA candle for the final minute of regular trading on Friday Nov 13, 2026 is strictly above the option's price. Otherwise it resolves No, including an exact tie.
- Watch out
- Only the Pyth Close of the 1-minute candle for the final minute of regular trading on the week's last trading day counts. A price exactly equal to the strike resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.