MarketsFinance
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on November 11?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $2.9K
$165 98%$170 60%$175 25%$180 10%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
5 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
$165Smart money1 Yes0 No98%
$170Smart money1 Yes0 No60%
$175Smart money0 Yes1 No25%
$180Smart money1 Yes0 No10%
$185No smart money2%
5 options trading.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
$165Yes a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
$170Yes a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
$175No a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
$180Yes a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 a5533a5533: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.