MarketsTech
DOJ criminally charges NVIDIA by December 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.8K
DOJ criminally charges NVIDIA by December 31? 6%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
1 level openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
DOJ criminally charges NVIDIA by December 31?No smart money6%
1 open level, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice formally charges, files a criminal complaint against, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of NVIDIA Corporation or any of its subsidiaries or successors between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming NVIDIA Corporation or any of its subsidiaries or successors as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed. Charges under any federal criminal statute will qualify (for example, criminal antitrust violations under the Sherman Act, export-control or sanctions violations, violations of the Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), or fraud). Civil enforcement actions, including civil FARA or civil antitrust actions, will not qualify. A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals, including NVIDIA executives or Alice Huang, investigations, subpoenas, sanctions designations, and administrative export-control penalties will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.