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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsPolitics

NYC Mayor # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.1K

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 11 options

20-39 75%<20 17%40-59 5%60-79 1%

11 options

OptionAI analystsBuy
<20No smart money17%6%
20-39Smart money1 Yes0 No75%85%
40-59No smart money5%
60-79No smart money1%
80-99No smart money<1%
100-119No smart money<1%
120-139No smart money<1%
140-159No smart money<1%
160-179No smart money<1%
180-199No smart money<1%
200+No smart money<1%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<2017%6%−11
20-3975%85%+10
40-595%
60-791%
80-99<1%
100-119<1%
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · <20

6%

11 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Your forecast on <20

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
20-39Yes TheOne777 T21 TheOne777 T201 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between November 10, 12:00 PM ET and November 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.