MarketsMovies & TV
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options6 closedResearch 5d ago
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 120M+
97%
3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the view count on MrBeast's YouTube channel for the next video he posts after this market's creation, 7 days after it is posted, falls in 120M+'s range. Shorts, previews and other uploads don't count. If he posts no video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to the lowest bracket (<70M). A value exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. If the source is unavailable, the latest available view count is used.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
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