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Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 8d ago
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? 1%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
1 level open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 open level, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?1%6%+5
AI analysts' average · Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?
6%
5 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Yes supersmardsupersmard: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 supersmardsupersmard: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935: Tier 2, #42 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if, in PredictionMarketOdds.com's 'Nebraska Senate Election 2026' listing, Osborn's hourly odds value is strictly higher than Ricketts's for 4 consecutive published hourly values, all for datapoints between market creation and 2026-11-03 00:00 ET. If the race is officially decided earlier, it resolves Yes only if Osborn wins. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Osborn (I)'s hourly odds value is higher than Pete Ricketts (R)'s hourly odds value in the "Nebraska Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Dan Osborn (I) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Dan Osborn (I) or Pete Ricketts (R) in the "Nebraska Senate Election 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds values have been published for both Dan Osborn (I) and Pete Ricketts (R) between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Osborn (I) is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No". If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for Dan Osborn (I) and Pete Ricketts (R) in the "Nebraska Senate Election 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-nebraska-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
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