Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN9 levels openResearch 5d ago
Paper Trail 59%Please 55%Dollhouse Elephant 42%Water Girl 40%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
9 levels open · by chance
9 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Paper Trail
3 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if 'Paper Trail' is among the official nominees for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Nominations are announced Jan 21, 2027 and the ceremony is Mar 14, 2027. If it is not nominated, or no nominations are declared by Mar 14, 2027, the market resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
