Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 levels openResearch 1d ago
All of a Sudden 98%The Black Ball 97%Possible Love 62%The Dreamed Adventure 19%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
4 levels open · by chance
4 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · All of a Sudden
8 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- All of a Sudden resolves Yes if the film is officially named a nominee for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards when nominations are announced (scheduled January 21, 2027; ceremony March 14, 2027). It resolves No if the film is not nominated, or if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The Academy and AMPAS are the primary source, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
