MarketsMovies & TV
Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN8 levels openResearch 1d ago
By Any Means - By Any Means 67%When I'm Home - The Odyssey 44%Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2 38%Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn 19%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
8 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
8 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut83%70%−13
By Any Means - By Any Means67%50%−17
When I'm Home - The Odyssey44%38%−6
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 238%22%−16
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn19%5%−14
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk16%15%−1
+2 more options
AI analysts' average · This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut
70%
13 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
By Any Means - By Any MeansYes jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
Too Much to Ask - Ray GunnYes title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The DebutYes jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
When I'm Home - The OdysseyYes jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2No QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!No jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
Chains of Love - Wuthering HeightsNo 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut resolves Yes if that song is officially nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards when the nominees are announced (scheduled for January 21, 2027). It resolves No if the song is not among the nominees, or if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The Academy's official information decides, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a song is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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