Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN6 levels openResearch 1d ago
The Odyssey 86%Dune: Part Three 68%Project Hail Mary 68%Backrooms 18%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
6 levels open · by chance
6 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · The Black Ball
11 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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2 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- The Black Ball resolves Yes if it is officially nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards when the nominees are announced (scheduled January 21, 2027; ceremony March 14, 2027). It resolves No if it is not nominated, or if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The Academy (AMPAS, oscars.org) is the primary source, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Production Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
