Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 levels openResearch 1d ago
Dune: Part Three 98%Project Hail Mary 88%Godzilla Minus Zero 79%Avengers: Doomsday 46%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
4 levels open · by chance
4 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Dune: Part Three
8 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Dune: Part Three resolves Yes if the film is officially nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards when nominations are announced (scheduled January 21, 2027). It resolves No if the film is not among the nominees, or if no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The Academy (AMPAS, oscars.org) is the primary source, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
