MarketsWeather
Precipitation in NYC November 12 to 15?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $294.7
1.50" or more 35%0.50 - 0.99" 33%1.00 - 1.49" 31%Under 0.25" 25%
5 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Under 0.25"No smart money25%
0.25 - 0.49"No smart money23%
0.50 - 0.99"No smart money33%
1.00 - 1.49"No smart money31%
1.50" or moreNo smart money35%
5 open levels, in level order.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York (KNYC) from November 12, 2026 through November 15, 2026 falls within that market's stated range. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The total is the sum of the PRECIPITATION (IN) "YESTERDAY" values, as shown in the "OBSERVED VALUE" column of the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), for each climate day (midnight to midnight local standard time), using the report issued after each climate day ends; same-day preliminary reports are excluded. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. If multiple versions of the report are issued for a climate day, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026 governs. Trace ("T") is 0.00 inches. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches. If no figure has been published for a climate day by that time, that day will count as 0.00 inches. This market will resolve by 11:59 PM ET on November 16, 2026. Resolution Source: NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI), Central Park, NY.