Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 8d ago
June 30, 2027 10%December 31, 2026 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
2 levels open
2 options trading.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · June 30, 2027
5 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 1 price closer, on 312–394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Yes if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period, or announces resignation or removal, or is detained or permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the office, between market creation and 2027-06-30 (ET). Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
