MarketsMovies & TV
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN7 optionsResearch 1d ago
150 - 160m 96%160 - 170m 1%
7 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
7 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<150m———
150 - 160m96%96%0
160 - 170m1%7%+6
170 - 180m———
180 - 190m———
190 - 200m———
+1 more option
AI analysts' average · 150 - 160m
96%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 313 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
150 - 160mYes aenews2aenews2: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 8 aenews2aenews2: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 08 · 0
<150mYes The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1New.JeansNew.Jeans: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 03 · 0
160 - 170mNo The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
170 - 180mNo The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 The-JokerThe-Joker: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
3 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes for 150 - 160m if The Numbers' 'Daily Box Office Performance' (Box Office tab) shows a cumulative domestic gross for 'Resident Evil' (opened September 18, 2026) through and including October 31, 2026 inside 150 - 160m's range, once all those days are final rather than studio estimates. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. The market uses The Numbers' figures whatever territories 'domestic' covers. If finality is unclear, it stays open until both Box Off…
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" box office will gross domestically by October 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (September 18, 2026) and October 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including October 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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