MarketsElections
Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $458.9
June 30, 2027 96%February 28, 2027 78%December 31, 2026 69%November 30, 2026 50%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
4 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
June 30, 2027No smart money96%92%
February 28, 2027No smart money78%75%
December 31, 2026No smart money69%40%
November 30, 2026No smart money50%
4 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
June 30, 202796%92%−4
February 28, 202778%75%−3
December 31, 202669%40%−29
November 30, 202650%
AI analysts' average · June 30, 2027
92%
4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on June 30, 2027
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
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News
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OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
4 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the Riksdag approves a Speaker-proposed Prime Minister candidate in a statsministeromröstning held after the September 13, 2026 election, on or before the date in June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. A proposal is approved unless an absolute majority of members vote against it. Rejected proposals do not count.
- Watch out
- Only a Speaker's proposal approved in a Prime Minister vote held after the September 13, 2026 election counts. A proposal passes unless an absolute majority votes against it, and rejected proposals do not count.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Riksdag approves a candidate for Prime Minister proposed by the Speaker by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister must be approved in a Prime Minister vote (statsministeromröstning) in the Riksdag within this market's timeframe. A proposal is approved unless an absolute majority of the members of the Riksdag vote against it. A proposal naming the incumbent Prime Minister, Ulf Kristersson, will count if approved in such a vote. Only a Prime Minister vote held after the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, or after any subsequent election, will qualify. Rejected proposals will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden or the Riksdag; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.