MarketsPolitics
Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
CLOSED0 options6 closedResearch 3d ago
0 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
6 closed options
0 open levels, in level order. +6 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 35-40%
24%
37 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
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News
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the share of valid votes won by the list 'Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia' in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election falls in 35-40%'s bracket. The share is the list's valid votes divided by all valid votes cast. Only votes the official results attribute to that list count. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. If results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket (<35%). The deci…
- Resolution criteria
- Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid vote won by the electoral list “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named electoral list. Votes attributed to another list or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
- Waiting for official results.
- Expected by . The source's official result is not final yet. This market waits for it.
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