Ship traffic through the Malacca Strait week of November 16?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of 05:35 ESTCloses Nov 23, 2026Polymarket 24h vol $0

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

1500+ 50%1550+ 50%1600+ 50%1650+ 50%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

6 levels openin level order

OptionBuy

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6 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Malacca Strait from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Malacca Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/5f51a0d85ac44a6bad02561e25899c4a.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Malacca Strait from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Malacca Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/5f51a0d85ac44a6bad02561e25899c4a.