MarketsElections
South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0
Marco Rubio 51%J.D. Vance 48%Ted Cruz 46%Tom Cotton 46%
20 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Marco Rubio51%———
J.D. Vance48%———
Ted Cruz46%———
Tom Cotton46%———
Brian Kemp45%———
Elon Musk44%———
Vivek Ramaswamy43%———
Donald Trump42%———
Josh Hawley42%———
Greg Abbott42%———
Donald Trump Jr.42%———
Glenn Youngkin42%———
Tucker Carlson40%———
Ivanka Trump39%———
Ron DeSantis38%———
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.36%———
Thomas Massie35%———
Rand Paul34%———
Marjorie Taylor Greene34%———
Pete Hegseth31%———
20 options trading, by chance.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- South Carolina is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Republican convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.