Skip to content

US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

RulesJoin the contest
MarketsFinance

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 11?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $4.8K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

$730 99%$735 99%$740 98%$745 94%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open

OptionBuy
$780No smart money1%
$775No smart money1%
$770No smart money1%
$765No smart money4%
$760Smart money1 Yes0 No13%
$755No smart money68%
$750Smart money0 Yes1 No90%
$745No smart money94%
$740No smart money98%
$735No smart money99%
$730No smart money99%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
$760Yes a5533 T21 a5533 T201 · 0
$750No a5533 T201 a5533 T20 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 11?