Skip to content

US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

RulesJoin the contest
MarketsFinance

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 4m agoPolymarket 24h vol $50.2

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

$735 91%$740 91%$745 88%$750 77%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open

OptionBuy
$780No smart money10%
$775No smart money6%
$770No smart money9%
$765No smart money16%
$760No smart money39%
$755No smart money57%
$750No smart money77%
$745No smart money88%
$740No smart money91%
$735No smart money91%
$730No smart money71%

11 options trading.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

11 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12?