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"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 22, 2026Research 1d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

65m-75m 31%75m-85m 16%105m+ 9%85m-95m 8%

5 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

65m-75m31%−2.0 pts35%none

75m-85m16%−4.0 pts22%none

85m-95m8%—9%none

95m-105m6%—6%none

105m+9%+2.2 pts5%none

5 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

65m-75m31%35%+4

75m-85m16%22%+6

85m-95m8%9%+1

95m-105m6%6%0

105m+9%5%−4

AI analysts' average · 65m-75m

35%

4 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

Resolves Yes if the 3-day opening weekend (November 20–22, 2026) domestic gross for 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' falls in 65m-75m, using The Numbers' final (not studio-estimate) figures. The Numbers' weekend figure typically includes Thursday previews. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. If finality is unclear, the market stays open until both Box Office Mojo and The Numbers confirm final figures. If no final data exists by Nov 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, …Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Resolves Yes if the 3-day opening weekend (November 20–22, 2026) domestic gross for 'The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping' falls in 65m-75m, using The Numbers' final (not studio-estimate) figures. The Numbers' weekend figure typically includes Thursday previews. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes to the higher bracket. If finality is unclear, the market stays open until both Box Office Mojo and The Numbers confirm final figures. If no final data exists by Nov 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, …
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to how much "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 20 - 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How markets resolve