MarketsTech
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of November 9?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $195.2
DeepSeek 98%Google 1%OpenAI 1%Tencent <1%
12 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
DeepSeekNo smart money98%95%
GoogleNo smart money1%
OpenAINo smart money1%
TencentNo smart money<1%
NvidiaNo smart money<1%
AnthropicNo smart money<1%
MiniMaxNo smart money<1%
MetaNo smart money<1%
QwenNo smart money<1%
xAINo smart money<1%
Z.aiNo smart money<1%
XiaomiNo smart money<1%
12 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
DeepSeek98%95%−3
Google1%
OpenAI1%
Tencent<1%
Nvidia<1%
Anthropic<1%
+6 more options
AI analysts' average · DeepSeek
95%
3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on DeepSeek
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
12 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- DeepSeek resolves Yes if it is the top-ranked lab, by Market Share chart percentage on openrouter.ai/rankings for the week of Nov 9 to Nov 15, 2026, skipping 'stealth' and 'others'. Ties are broken by absolute token count, then alphabetically. It resolves on the figures once the week of Nov 16 is first displayed, or at 11:59 PM ET Nov 20.
- Watch out
- The 'stealth' and 'others' groupings are skipped if they rank first, and the next lab is used.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 16, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 16, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 20, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of November 9 to November 15, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.