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MarketsCrypto

Total commitments for the Mori Finance public sale on MetaDAO

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 2m agoPolymarket 24h vol $25.1K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

>10M 71%>20M 8%>30M 3%>40M 2%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

4 levels openin level order

OptionAI analystsBuy
>10MNo smart money71%74%
>20MSmart money0 Yes1 No8%35%
>30MSmart money0 Yes1 No3%10%
>40MSmart money0 Yes1 No2%

4 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
>10M71%74%+3
>20M8%35%+27
>30M3%10%+7
>40M2%

AI analysts' average · >10M

74%

3 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Your forecast on >10M

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
>20MNo 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T201 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T20 · 1
>30MNo 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T201 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T20 · 1
>40MNo 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T201 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b T20 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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In plain English
>10M resolves Yes if the 'committed' figure on the official Mori Finance raise page on MetaDAO (metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance) exceeds >10M at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise it resolves No. USDC counts at face value, and a figure exactly equal to the threshold resolves No.
Watch out
Only the 'committed' figure shown on the official MetaDAO Mori Finance page counts, and it needs to exceed the threshold at any point before the close and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A figure exactly equal to the threshold resolves No.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Mori Finance raise on MetaDAO exceed the value specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the "committed" figure displayed on the official Mori Finance raise page on MetaDAO, currently https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance. Commitments in USDC are counted at face value as US dollars. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" once the raise closes or on November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. A value exactly equal to the specified value will resolve to "No". If the figure on the raise page is unavailable, official announcements from MetaDAO (https://x.com/MetaDAOProject) or Mori Finance (https://x.com/morifinance_) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period through November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward resolution.