MarketsPolitics
Trump signs a bill from new Congress by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $0
January 31 48%March 31 79%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
2 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
January 31No smart money48%
March 31No smart money79%
2 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
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News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill or joint resolution passed by the 120th United States Congress into United States federal law between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation enacted over veto or without Trump's signature will not qualify, nor will legislation that received final congressional passage before the 120th Congress convened. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.