How do I trade on "Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN5 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 5 options

2.7-2.8M 44%2.6-2.7M 33%2.8M+ 24%2.5-2.6M 2%

5 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

<2.3M<1%−0.4 pts3%—

2.5-2.6M2%−1.2 pts5%—

2.6-2.7M33%+8.5 pts28%—

2.7-2.8M44%+5.5 pts31%—

2.8M+24%−8.5 pts26%—

5 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

<2.3M<1%3%+3

2.5-2.6M2%5%+3

2.6-2.7M33%28%−5

2.7-2.8M44%31%−13

2.8M+24%26%+2

AI analysts' average · 2.7-2.8M

31%

13 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 5 options

The market resolves on Bonbast's finalized free-market USD rate for October 31, 2026, converted from toman to rials at 1 toman = 10 rials. The matching bracket resolves Yes: <2.3M, 2.5–2.6M, 2.6–2.7M, 2.7–2.8M or 2.8M+. A value exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. A figure is final once the next day's figure is released. If it is not final by the end of the 7th calendar day after the date (ET), the latest available data is used. Rial redenomination or a change in Bonbast's unit is …Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: The market resolves on Bonbast's finalized free-market USD rate for October 31, 2026, converted from toman to rials at 1 toman = 10 rials. The matching bracket resolves Yes: <2.3M, 2.5–2.6M, 2.6–2.7M, 2.7–2.8M or 2.8M+. A value exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. A figure is final once the next day's figure is released. If it is not final by the end of the 7th calendar day after the date (ET), the latest available data is used. Rial redenomination or a change in Bonbast's unit is …
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

How markets resolve