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Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” Sale Price
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $1.5K
$200m-$225m 36%$225m+ 30%$175m-$200m 20%$150m-$175m 8%
5 optionsin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
<$150mNo smart money5%
$150m-$175mNo smart money8%
$175m-$200mNo smart money20%25%
$200m-$225mNo smart money36%30%
$225m+No smart money30%27%
5 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<$150m5%
$150m-$175m8%
$175m-$200m20%25%+5
$200m-$225m36%30%−6
$225m+30%27%−3
AI analysts' average · <$150m
—
Your forecast on <$150m
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- In plain English
- <$150m resolves Yes if the final 'Lot Sold' price on Sotheby's for Van Gogh's 'Châtaigniers en fleurs' (Lot 5, Nov 18, 2026 evening sale) falls in that bracket. A price exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. If no sale is completed, or the price is not definitively known by Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to '<$150m'.
- Watch out
- The 'Lot Sold' price on Sotheby's decides the bracket, and a price exactly on a boundary goes to the higher bracket. A failed sale, or a price not known by Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolves to '<$150m'.
- Resolution criteria
- Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” (Lot 5) is expected to be sold at Sotheby's Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection Evening Auction on November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$150m". The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sotheby's (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/legendary-the-blaquier-arrieta-collection-evening-auction/vincent-van-gogh-chataigner-en-fleurs-roses-et).