MarketsElections
Waitaki Ōamaru Ward By-Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $173.8
Keith Marshall 68%Richard Vinbrux 41%
2 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Keith MarshallNo smart money68%
Richard VinbruxNo smart money41%
2 options trading, by chance.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- A by-election for the Ōamaru Ward of the Waitaki District Council in New Zealand is currently scheduled to be held on November 27, 2026, following the death of incumbent councillor Jim Hopkins. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Ōamaru Ward by-election for the Waitaki District Council. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Waitaki District Council (https://www.waitaki.govt.nz/).