What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 1h ago
↓ 75,000 5%↓ 72,500 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
2 levels open
2 options trading. +18 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · ↓ 75,000
2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↓ 75,000 resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches (↑ options) or dips to (↓ options) that price at any point in October 2026; otherwise No. The published rule text is only the market title, so the price source and the exact threshold test are not stated.
- Watch out
- The rules give only the title 'What price will Bitcoin hit in October?', so the price source and whether a wick or a close counts are not stated.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
