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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on November 11?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $191.1K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ 73,000 60%↑ 75,000 27%↓ 72,000 19%↑ 76,000 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open

OptionAI analystsBuy
↑ 81,000No smart money<1%
↑ 80,000No smart money<1%
↑ 79,000No smart money<1%
↑ 78,000No smart money<1%
↑ 77,000No smart money2%
↑ 76,000No smart money6%
↑ 75,000No smart money27%38%
↓ 73,000No smart money60%50%
↓ 72,000No smart money19%22%
↓ 71,000No smart money7%
↓ 70,000No smart money3%
↓ 69,000Smart money1 Yes0 No2%
↓ 68,000No smart money1%
↓ 67,000No smart money<1%
↓ 66,000No smart money<1%

15 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 9h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 81,000<1%
↑ 80,000<1%
↑ 79,000<1%
↑ 78,000<1%
↑ 77,0002%
↑ 76,0006%
+9 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 81,000

—

Your forecast on ↑ 81,000

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↓ 69,000Yes ds-1766436698413 T21 ds-1766436698413 T201 · 0

14 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
For ↑ options, resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches the stated price on November 11. For ↓ options, resolves Yes if Bitcoin dips to the stated price on November 11. Otherwise No.
Watch out
Only touches on November 11 count; moves on other days do not.
Resolution criteria
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 11?