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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $200.3K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ 72,000 99%↑ 74,000 15%↓ 71,000 53%↓ 70,000 25%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels open

OptionAI analystsBuy
↑ 81,000No smart money<1%
↑ 80,000No smart money<1%
↑ 79,000No smart money<1%
↑ 78,000No smart money<1%
↑ 77,000No smart money1%
↑ 76,000Smart money0 Yes1 No2%
↑ 75,000No smart money4%29%
↑ 74,000Smart money1 Yes0 No15%75%
↓ 72,000No smart money99%45%
↓ 71,000No smart money53%18%
↓ 70,000No smart money25%
↓ 69,000No smart money10%
↓ 68,000No smart money4%
↓ 67,000No smart money2%
↓ 66,000No smart money1%

15 options trading.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 39m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 81,000<1%
↑ 80,000<1%
↑ 79,000<1%
↑ 78,000<1%
↑ 77,0001%
↑ 76,0002%
+9 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 81,000

—

Your forecast on ↑ 81,000

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 76,000No Tokor T101 Tokor T10 · 1
↑ 74,000Yes Tokor T11 Tokor T101 · 0

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
↑ 81,000 resolves Yes if Bitcoin trades at or above the stated price (↑ options) or at or below it (↓ options) at any moment on November 12, 2026; otherwise No. The market's published rules give only the title, so the price source and time zone are not stated.
Watch out
The published rules give only the title, so the price source, the time zone and whether any touch during November 12 counts are not stated in the rules.
Resolution criteria
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?