MarketsCrypto
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN8 levels openResearch 15h ago
↑ 2,400 79%↓ 2,300 46%↓ 2,200 14%↓ 2,100 6%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
8 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
8 options trading. +12 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 2,7003%4%+1
↑ 2,6005%7%+2
↑ 2,40079%65%−14
↓ 2,30046%60%+14
↓ 2,20014%18%+4
↓ 2,1006%6%0
+2 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ 2,400
65%
14 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↑ 2,400 resolves Yes if Ethereum's price reaches (for ↑ options) or dips to (for ↓ options) the stated level at any moment in October 2026, up to the close of trading on 2026-11-01 04:00Z. Otherwise it resolves No. The market's own rules text gives no price source, so the exact benchmark is unconfirmed.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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