MarketsBusiness
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN20 levels open2 closedResearch 1h ago
↑ $105 35%↓ $95 12%↑ $110 7%↓ $90 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
20 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
20 options trading. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $150<1%1%+1
↑ $140<1%1%+1
↑ $130<1%1%+1
↑ $125<1%1%0
↑ $1201%3%+2
↑ $1152%5%+3
+14 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ $105
35%
level with the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 359–394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ $105Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1MaxVisionMaxVision: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 8 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 · 8
↑ $110Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 6 LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 · 6
↓ $95Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No henoshenos: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 henoshenos: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2MrMelonHeadMrMelonHead: Tier 2, #23 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 4 · 4
↓ $90Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1tryingmyluckheretryingmyluckhere: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 6 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 · 6
↑ $120Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 · 1
↑ $115Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T16 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T16 · 1
↓ $85Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 LulaVaiPerderLulaVaiPerder: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 · 4
↓ $80Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #10 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 · 4
↓ $75Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 · 1
↓ $70Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No botparadisebotparadise: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T25 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 botparadisebotparadise: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T25 · 1
↑ $130Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T23 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b40x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T23 · 1
↓ $65Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 · 0
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Market resolves Yes if WTI crude oil reaches ↑ $105 at any moment in October 2026. The rules give only the title 'What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?'. The ↑ options need a high at or above the level, and the ↓ options need a low at or below it. The rules name no price source or time zone.
- Watch out
- The rules state only the question title and no price source, so which print counts as 'hit' is not specified.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
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