MarketsBusiness
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN10 levels open4 closedResearch 2d ago
↓ $52 39%↑ $56 28%↓ $46 3%↑ $60 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
10 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
10 options trading. +6 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $76<1%1%+1
↑ $72<1%1%0
↑ $662%1%−1
↑ $641%7%+6
↑ $621%10%+9
↑ $602%28%+26
+4 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ $52
18%
21 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 313–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ $66Yes capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 · 2
↓ $52Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1henoshenos: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↑ $62Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 04 · 0
↑ $64Yes Vagabund97Vagabund97: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 Vagabund97Vagabund97: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 capibcapib: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 2
↑ $60Yes ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 2
↓ $46Yes EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 ng6000ng6000: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 2
↑ $72No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AliciaAlicia: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↑ $56Yes Vagabund97Vagabund97: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 Vagabund97Vagabund97: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 EgoVolaeEgoVolae: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if any 1-minute Pyth XAG/USD candle in an October 2026 trading session has a Low at or below ↓ $52's listed price. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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