MarketsPolitics
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $292.3
Mr Speaker 30+ times 50%Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times 50%Scotland 50%Wales 50%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
10 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Mr Speaker 30+ timesNo smart money50%
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ timesNo smart money50%
ScotlandNo smart money50%
WalesNo smart money50%
ImmigrationNo smart money50%
NHSNo smart money50%
TrumpNo smart money50%
DefenceNo smart money50%
ReformNo smart money83%
-No Qualifying Event-No smart money39%
10 open levels, in level order.
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News
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OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf