MarketsTech
What will Applied Materials say during their next earnings call?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $33
Hyperscaler 51%-No Qualifying Event- 43%Tariff 40%PVD 65%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
12 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Customer 25+ timesNo smart money97%
Growth 20+ timesNo smart money97%
DRAM 10+ timesNo smart money96%
AI 7+ timesNo smart money96%
DepositionNo smart money86%
TariffNo smart money40%
ForecastNo smart money92%
HyperscalerSmart money0 Yes1 No51%
BandwidthNo smart money95%
TSMCNo smart money25%
PVDNo smart money65%
-No Qualifying Event-No smart money43%
12 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
HyperscalerNo clazzy1clazzy1: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 clazzy1clazzy1: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
11 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Applied Materials currently scheduled to take place on November 12, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf