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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 9m agoPolymarket 24h vol $248.2

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Toy 5+ times 55%ChatGPT / OpenAI 44%Pokemon 40%Guest 70+ times 36%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

8 levels openin level order

OptionBuy
Guest 70+ timesNo smart money36%
Toy 5+ timesNo smart money55%
TariffNo smart money94%
Affordable / AffordabilityNo smart money90%
PokemonNo smart money40%
InflationNo smart money19%
ChatGPT / OpenAINo smart money44%
SNAPNo smart money6%

8 open levels, in level order.

AI analysts

The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Target currently scheduled to take place on November 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf