MarketsPolitics
What will Trump say this week? (November 9 - November 15)
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $5
Veto 50%Not on the Ballot 50%Bibi 54%Thanksgiving 36%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
8 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Hakeem / JeffriesNo smart money30%
VetoNo smart money50%
ThanksgivingNo smart money36%
Not on the BallotNo smart money50%
RiggedNo smart money36%
BallroomNo smart money67%
Fire and FuryNo smart money36%
BibiNo smart money54%
8 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between market creation and November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf