How do I trade on "Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 optionsCloses Feb 1, 2027Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · top 3 of 3 options

7th-9th 34%6th or higher 3%13th-15th <1%

3 options · in level order

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

6th or higher3%−0.1 pts4%none

7th-9th34%−7.5 pts31%none

13th-15th<1%−3.0 pts2%none

3 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

6th or higher3%4%+1

7th-9th34%31%−3

13th-15th<1%2%+1

AI analysts' average · 7th-9th

31%

3 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 9h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

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In plain English: Resolves to the bracket containing 2026's rank by nominal annual domestic 'Total Gross' on Box Office Mojo's yearly chart, once the 2026 figure is final. The highest-grossing year ranks 1st. A tie with another year gives 2026 the higher rank. Inflation-adjusted figures are not used.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How markets resolve