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Where will Jensen Huang work next?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $14K
No new company before 2028 28%SpaceX 20%Founds new company 10%NVIDIA 8%
17 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
No new company before 2028Smart money0 Yes1 No28%18%
SpaceXSmart money0 Yes1 No20%33%
Founds new companySmart money0 Yes1 No10%15%
NVIDIASmart money0 Yes1 No8%
MicrosoftSmart money0 Yes1 No7%
AMDSmart money0 Yes1 No7%
IntelSmart money0 Yes1 No7%
TSMCSmart money0 Yes1 No4%
SoftBankSmart money0 Yes1 No3%
OracleSmart money0 Yes1 No3%
OpenAINo smart money<1%
MetaSmart money0 Yes1 No<1%
AmazonNo smart money<1%
TeslaNo smart money<1%
AppleNo smart money<1%
AnthropicNo smart money<1%
GoogleNo smart money<1%
17 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
No new company before 202828%18%−10
SpaceX20%33%+13
Founds new company10%15%+5
NVIDIA8%
Microsoft7%
AMD7%
+11 more options
AI analysts' average · No new company before 2028
18%
10 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on No new company before 2028
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
No new company before 2028No cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
SpaceXNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Founds new companyNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
NVIDIANo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
MicrosoftNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
AMDNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
IntelNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
TSMCNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
SoftBankNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
OracleNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
MetaNo cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 cigarettescigarettes: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first company at which Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within its corporate or governance structure between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If Jensen Huang first publicly announces that he has founded, or will found, a new company within that period, this market will resolve to “Founds new company.” If that company is not listed as an outcome, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no such announcement is made by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No new company before 2028.” Nonprofit organizations, universities, foundations, and government bodies will not qualify; however, a role at a nonprofit organization, foundation, or trust that controls or formally oversees a qualifying company (e.g., the OpenAI Foundation) will count toward that company. Roles Jensen Huang already held at market creation will not qualify. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a company (for example, SpaceXAI, formerly xAI, for SpaceX) will count toward that company. Preliminary discussions, negotiations or talks about a potential role, offers that have not been accepted, unpaid speaking engagements, guest appearances and one-time consulting will not qualify. Merely investing in a company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to a company will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An announcement that Jensen Huang has founded, or will found, a new company must identify him as a founder or co-founder of the new company and must either name the company or state definitively that Jensen Huang has founded or will found it (e.g., “I have started a new company,” “I will be launching a new company”). Statements that Jensen Huang is considering, exploring, hoping, planning or in discussions to found a company, or that he may or might do so, will not qualify, nor will third-party reports of such plans. The company need not be incorporated or operating by the resolution date. Companies publicly announced before this market was created will not qualify. Subsidiaries, spin-offs, joint ventures and other entities created, owned or controlled by an existing company will not qualify as a new company; a role within one will count toward that existing company. Charitable foundations, nonprofit organizations, family offices and personal holding or investment vehicles will not qualify. A role at a company founded or co-founded by Jensen Huang after market creation will count toward “Founds new company.” An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. If qualifying roles at more than one company are announced at the same time, this market will resolve to the company at which he takes the most senior role, with executive roles ranking above board seats and board seats above advisory roles. If a qualifying founding announcement and a qualifying role at another company are announced at the same time, this market will resolve to “Founds new company.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant company (including its regulatory filings), the relevant governance body, or Jensen Huang (including his verified social media accounts and authorized representatives); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.