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US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

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Which companies will run ads during the 2027 Big Game?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $3.8K

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Amazon 85%Anthropic 82%OpenAI 81%Meta 81%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

15 levels openby chance

OptionAI analystsBuy
AmazonNo smart money85%85%
AnthropicNo smart money82%
OpenAINo smart money81%80%
MetaNo smart money81%83%
GoogleNo smart money66%
PerplexityNo smart money57%
RobinhoodNo smart money56%
CoinbaseNo smart money55%
MicrosoftNo smart money51%
AppleNo smart money49%
NvidiaNo smart money49%
KrakenNo smart money48%
SpaceXNo smart money40%
TeslaNo smart money16%
Crypto.comNo smart money14%

15 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Amazon85%85%0
Anthropic82%
OpenAI81%80%−1
Meta81%83%+2
Google66%
Perplexity57%
+9 more options

AI analysts' average · Amazon

85%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Your forecast on Amazon

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

15 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such as Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.