How do I trade on "Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 optionsCloses Feb 1, 2027Research 6d ago

Polymarket chance · top 2 of 2 options

Avengers: Doomsday 57%Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%

2 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Avengers: Doomsday57%+2.0 pts52%2 · 0

Spider-Man: Brand New Day38%−5.0 pts37%0 · 4

2 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 6d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Avengers: Doomsday57%52%−5

Spider-Man: Brand New Day38%37%−1

AI analysts' average · Avengers: Doomsday

52%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's movie traders by 3-month profit · updated 23h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Spider-Man: Brand New DayNo New.Jeans T1 04 New.Jeans T1Red781RuM T1 0 · 4

Avengers: DoomsdayYes New.Jeans T1 2 New.Jeans T1Red781RuM T1 02 · 0

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the highest domestic opening-week gross of any 2026 film, per The Numbers' Weekly Box Office Performance table once the figures are final. Ties go to the title that comes first alphabetically. Otherwise No.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

How markets resolve