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Who will appear in a 2027 Big Game commercial?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $17.7K
Peyton Manning 81%Ben Affleck 76%Tom Brady 59%Matthew McConaughey 51%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
15 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
Peyton ManningNo smart money81%75%
Ben AffleckNo smart money76%65%
Tom BradyNo smart money59%68%
Matthew McConaugheyNo smart money51%
Ryan ReynoldsNo smart money47%
Snoop DoggNo smart money44%
MrBeastNo smart money42%
Kevin HartNo smart money41%
Travis KelceNo smart money38%
Jennifer AnistonNo smart money33%
Sabrina CarpenterNo smart money27%
Shohei OhtaniNo smart money21%
BeyoncéNo smart money15%
Taylor SwiftNo smart money10%
Elon MuskNo smart money7%
15 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Peyton Manning81%75%−6
Ben Affleck76%65%−11
Tom Brady59%68%+9
Matthew McConaughey51%
Ryan Reynolds47%
Snoop Dogg44%
+9 more options
AI analysts' average · Peyton Manning
75%
6 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Peyton Manning
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
15 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual appears in an advertisement during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The listed individual must appear in video form; voice-only appearances will not independently qualify. Archival footage, lookalikes, and AI-generated or digitally created likenesses will not count. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.