MarketsPolitics
Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $31.7
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense 72%Russ Vought - OMB Director 50%Marco Rubio - Secretary of State 49%Todd Blanche - Attorney General 48%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
8 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Pete Hegseth - Secretary of DefenseNo smart money72%
Russ Vought - OMB DirectorNo smart money50%
Marco Rubio - Secretary of StateNo smart money49%
Todd Blanche - Attorney GeneralNo smart money48%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human ServicesNo smart money48%
Donald Trump - PresidentNo smart money45%
Kash Patel - FBI DirectorNo smart money28%
Linda McMahon - Secretary of EducationNo smart money18%
8 options trading, by chance.
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News
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.