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Who will be in the 2026 NFL Christmas Day halftime show?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 21m agoPolymarket 24h vol $38.8K
Michael Bublé 50%Kelly Clarkson 45%Adele 19%EJAE 18%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
18 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
Michael BubléNo smart money50%40%
Kelly ClarksonNo smart money45%30%
AdeleNo smart money19%12%
EJAENo smart money18%30%
Audrey NunaNo smart money16%8%
Sabrina CarpenterNo smart money15%
BeyoncéNo smart money15%
Mariah CareyNo smart money14%
Lady GagaNo smart money13%
Taylor SwiftNo smart money12%
Lainey WilsonNo smart money12%
Rei AmiNo smart money12%
Andrea BocelliNo smart money11%
Snoop DoggNo smart money11%
Bruno MarsNo smart money11%
Kacey MusgravesNo smart money9%
Martha StewartNo smart money7%
Post MaloneNo smart money7%
18 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Michael Bublé50%40%−10
Kelly Clarkson45%30%−15
Adele19%12%−7
EJAE18%30%+12
Audrey Nuna16%8%−8
Sabrina Carpenter15%
+12 more options
AI analysts' average · Michael Bublé
40%
10 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Michael Bublé
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OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Michael Bublé resolves Yes if that person appears live and in person within the field of play, field-level areas, or a halftime set or stage during the halftime show of Netflix's Dec 25, 2026 NFL Christmas Day games. Otherwise it resolves No. It also resolves No if no halftime show takes place by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Watch out
- Only a live, in-person appearance during the halftime show in the designated areas counts. Attending the game, appearing in the stands, or appearing before or after the show, in a rehearsal, or in a pre-recorded segment does not count.
- Resolution criteria
- Netflix's NFL Christmas Day games are scheduled to be played on December 25, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A person will be considered to appear in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show if they appear live and in person on the official broadcast within one of the following areas: i) the field of play, including the end zones; ii) any surrounding field-level areas below the first level of stands, such as the sidelines, areas behind the end zones, and tunnels leading directly onto the field; or iii) any set, stage, rig, or platform built for the Halftime Show, wherever it stands in the stadium. No particular activity is required, and the length of the appearance does not impact resolution. The official broadcast refers to Netflix's primary telecast of its National Football League games played on December 25, 2026. A Halftime Show is the entertainment program staged at the stadium between the second and third quarters of a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game and presented in the official broadcast, from the start of the program to its conclusion. The following will not qualify absent an appearance in a Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show as defined above: attendance at a Netflix NFL Christmas Day game; an appearance on the official broadcast outside the designated areas, including in the stands, a suite, or another spectator area; an appearance before a Halftime Show begins or after it ends, including a rehearsal or soundcheck; or an appearance that is not live and in person, including a pre-recorded segment, a remote, satellite, holographic, or digitally projected appearance, or an artificial simulation or recreation of the listed person. If the official broadcast is unavailable for any period during a Halftime Show, an appearance occurring only during that period qualifies only if the NFL or Netflix releases video of the listed person appearing in the Halftime Show by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the game. Official video released by the NFL and Netflix includes video published later in the official broadcast, on their official website, application, streaming service, or official social media accounts. If the broadcast does not become unavailable during a Halftime Show, non-broadcast videos will not qualify for resolution. If no Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show takes place by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Netflix's NFL Christmas Day games; however, videos of the Netflix NFL Christmas Day Halftime Show released by Netflix and the NFL may also be used.