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Who will join Trump at APEC in China?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 1m agoPolymarket 24h vol $6.1K
Scott Bessent 97%Marco Rubio 88%Elon Musk 83%Tim Cook 45%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
14 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
Scott BessentNo smart money97%
Marco RubioNo smart money88%
Elon MuskNo smart money83%
Tim CookNo smart money45%
Mark ZuckerbergNo smart money41%
Jared KushnerNo smart money28%
Eric TrumpNo smart money26%
Sam AltmanNo smart money17%
Steve WitkoffNo smart money10%
Barron TrumpNo smart money8%
Donald Trump Jr.No smart money4%
Jensen HuangNo smart money4%
Melania TrumpNo smart money3%
J.D. VanceNo smart money1%
14 options trading, by chance.
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OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
14 options: no ranked trader holds them
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No". The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.