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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

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OPEN1 level openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 8d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

1 level open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?8%+0.2 pts8%1 · 3

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2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8d ago

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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?8%8%0

AI analysts' average · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

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News

3d
The Blogs: Pacific Abraham Accords: Blocking China’s Advance
The Times of Israel
4d
Supporter of Abraham Accords with Palestinian origins nominated to head up UN
The Jewish Chronicle
4d
To defeat Iran’s undersea threats, Trump must weaponize the Abraham Accords
Washington Examiner

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 23h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes Robbb T2 No M2sx92kljs42 T1 1 Robbb T23 M2sx92kljs42 T1LJa7io23MCv954j T2 1 · 3

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In plain English: Yes if a country not already in the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the Accords' framework, publicly acknowledged by both governments, by 2026-12-31 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise No. UAE, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan (members as of 2025-06-26) don't count.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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